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"The State Of The Race" Blog Post By David Plouffe

The State of the Race
By David Plouffe

"...Just as a refresher, below are some Democratic primary national polls going back to 1980.  You’ll see how effective they have been as crystal balls.

* 2003: In August 2003, Joe Lieberman led the national polls, in September, Howard Dean led, in October, Wesley Clark led, and in December – one month before the Iowa Caucuses – a Wall Street Journal/NBC poll showed John Kerry, the eventual nominee, in fifth place trailing among others Joe Lieberman and Dick Gephardt. Yet after winning Iowa and New Hampshire, Kerry vaulted to 49% in national polls before the end of January, This has been true in nearly every previous Democratic nomination contest:

* 1992: According to a November 1991 Los Angeles Times poll, Bill Clinton was in 3rd place with less than half the support of the then-frontrunner, Jerry Brown.

* 1988: A January 1988 New York Times/CBS Poll showed Michael Dukakis in fourth place with 6 percent.

* 1980: An August 1979 poll showed President Carter trailing Senator Ted Kennedy by 36 points

Time is a friend to our campaign.

While voters have a distinctly positive feeling about Barack, they don’t have a great depth of knowledge about his life and history of leadership in Illinois and Washington.  That history, which we have begun sharing in the early states, distinguishes Barack as someone who not only speaks about change, but who has spent a lifetime working to bring it about.

As we educate voters about Barack, we have strong reason to believe that our already impressive support in the early states will solidify and slowly build later in the year.

It is clear we have the most room to grow in the race, given that the majority of voters do not know much about Barack beyond what they have gleaned from news reports over the last few months..."

Posted by Mike on July 01, 2007 | Permalink

Obama Announces Historic Grassroots Support

Obama Announces Historic Grassroots Support

258,000 donors over the course of the campaign – in the second quarter alone, 154,000 donors raise at least $31 million in primary dollars

CHICAGO,IL -- Today, Obama for America announced record-breaking grassroots support.  In just the second quarter, more than 154,000 donors gave the campaign at least $31 million in primary dollars alone, for a total of at least $32.5 million including general election funds. 

"Together, we have built the largest grassroots campaign in history for this stage of a Presidential race.  We now have hundreds of thousands of Americans who are ready to demand health care for all, energy independence, and an end to this war in Iraq.  That’s the kind of movement that can change the special interest-driven politics in Washington and transform our country. And it’s just the beginning," said Barack Obama.

"Every day over the past three months, over 1,500 Americans have made clear to Barack Obama that they believe in his vision for our country by contributing to his campaign," said Penny Pritzker, Obama for America National Finance Chair.  "I am glad to be a part of the more than 258,000 citizens of this country who are already united behind Barack's vision for our future."

Second quarter totals:

Primary dollars raised:  at least $31 million

Overall dollars raised (with general election): at least $32.5 million

Number of donors: over 154,00

Total 2007
Primary dollars raised: at least $55.7 million
Total number of donors: 258,000

Posted by Mike on July 01, 2007 | Permalink

Barack Obama Minnesota Kick-Off Video

Posted by Mike on June 30, 2007 | Permalink

Tags: Barack Obama, Kick-Off, Minnesota, Video

Barack Obama Minneapolis Photos

Barack Obama

Barack Obama

Barack Obama

Posted by Mike on June 29, 2007 | Permalink

Barack Obama Minneapolis Photos

Barack Obama

Barack Obama

Barack Obama

Posted by Mike on June 29, 2007 | Permalink

Obama To Reach Out To Grassroots Donors In Minneapolis

As the 2nd Quarter Closes Obama to Reach out to Grassroots Donors in Minneapolis

CHICAGO, IL- In the final days of the second fundraising quarter, Barack Obama plans to reach out to grassroots donors in Minneapolis at a community kick-off on Friday evening. 

The campaign announced this morning that more than 242,000 individuals have contributed to the campaign since Barack Obama entered the race in February with the goal of surpassing the 250,000 donor mark by the close of the quarter at midnight on Saturday.   

Obama has hosted community kickoffs in cities across the country where the ticket prices start at $25 including events in Chicago, Kansas City, New York City, Oklahoma City, New York City, Nashville, San Antonio, San Francisco and St. Louis.

Posted by Mike on June 28, 2007 | Permalink

Obama Campaign In Iowa Launches New Television Effort To Back Grassroots Campaign

Obama Campaign in Iowa Launches New Television Effort to Back Grassroots Campaign

DES MOINES -- On Monday, the Obama campaign announced it will supplement its aggressive grassroots outreach operation in Iowa with a low-level paid media campaign that includes two documentary-style television ads about the biography and career of Barack Obama.  The television ads will be accompanied by radio and Internet ads that reinforce the same themes.

The television ads focus on Obama’s commitment to the power of grassroots movements and his success in bringing people together to solve important challenges.  By demonstrating how Obama has successfully dedicated his life to these values, Iowa voters will better understand that Obama’s vision for bringing the country together to solve important problems is not just campaign rhetoric.  For him, it’s been a way of life.   The ads will show what Obama will do as President after they learn more about what he’s already done.

On an afternoon conference call, Republican Illinois State Senator Kirk Dillard, who is featured in the ad titled “Carry”, talked about personally working with Obama and seeing firsthand his ability to bring people together to accomplish important goals.

“Senator Obama and I spent hundreds of hours working on issues together in a bipartisan fashion,” said State Senator Kirk Dillard.  “I’ve seen firsthand that Senator Obama can take tough problems, reconcile parties and races and explain difficult topics to everyday people.  We worked as a tag-team on many complex issues, and I feel privileged to have worked with Senator Obama in the early part of his career.”

Harvard Law Professor Laurence Tribe spoke about Obama’s remarkable talent and commitment to serving his community.

“I’ve had the privilege of knowing thousands of students, but none more remarkable or more inspiring than Barack Obama,” Professor Laurence Tribe said. “What was most remarkable about him was that even though he could have written his ticket with any Wall Street law firm and had offers for clerkships on circuit courts with a virtual pathway to a Supreme Court clerkship, he didn’t.  He chose instead to go back to the South Side of Chicago and work with the community, registering voters, doing civil rights work.  He was really just doing good things with his legal education.  It was an inspiration to watch.”

Modest Paid Media Campaign is Part of Larger Outreach Plan

This low-level television advertising campaign is just the latest supplement to the aggressive grassroots outreach program that’s already underway in Iowa.  Three weeks ago, thousands of Iowa households received a booklet and DVD detailing the life, experience and record of Barack Obama.  One week later, 1,500 volunteers knocked on more than 30,000 doors in 84 Iowa cities and town to talk to people in their community about Obama’s record and his plan to lower health care costs by up to $2,500 annually for the typical family.  The television ads are also part of an integrated plan that includes radio spots and Internet advertising all highlighting Obama’s experience bringing people together to solve important problems.

“Choices” (:60) – Highlights Obama’s Commitment to Power of Grassroots

The first ad, entitled “Choices,” highlights Obama’s years in Chicago.  He first came to Chicago as a community organizer to work with a group of churches in a community that felt abandoned and powerless as local steel mills closed.  During his time as a community organizer, Obama persuaded local residents they could effect real change and they did – block by block.  After graduating from Harvard, he passed up big money offers to return to Chicago and  run a voter registration drive – once again devoting himself to the local community and to making people’s lives better.

Script:

Obama: I’m Barack Obama and I approve this message.

Obama (from the 2004 Democratic National Convention): It is that fundamental belief: I am my brother’s keeper. I am my sister’s keeper that makes this country work.

Narrator: After college, Barack Obama signed on as a community organizer for local churches, working to help families devastated by plant closings.

Tom Balanoff (President SEIU Local I): Barack was organizing at a time when everything was collapsing…it was people who had good lives and all of a sudden they unraveled. 

David Kindler (Former community organizer): The fact that Barack chose to try and effect social change, you know how do you understand that motivation? The pay stinks, the hours are bad.

Narrator: Three years later, Barack went to Harvard Law, then returned to the community to lead a voter registration drive and defend civil rights.

Laurence Tribe (Harvard University Law School): It was inspiring, absolutely inspiring to see someone as brilliant as Barack Obama, as successful, someone who could’ve written his ticket on Wall Street, take all of the talent and all of the learning and decide to devote it to the community and to making people’s lives better.

“Carry” (:30) – Chronicles Success in Bridging Partisan Divide to Solve Problems

The second ad chronicles Obama’s eight years in the Illinois state senate and his success in working with Democrats and Republicans to achieve goals that people only talk about in Washington, DC.  In Illinois, Obama built bipartisan coalitions to pass sweeping ethics reform, extend health care to 150,000 people and offer tax relief to low-income workers.

They’ve been talking about these issues in Washington for years, but Obama reached across party lines to make progress on these priorities in Illinois. 

Bringing people together across partisan lines stands in contrast to current politics in Washington, DC and it’s exactly the kind of leadership Americans are searching for.

Script:

Obama: I’m Barack Obama, and I approve this message.

Obama (from the 2004 Democratic National Convention): There is not a liberal America and a conservative America -- there is the United States of America.

Kirk Dillard (Republican Illinois State Senator): Senator Obama worked on some of the deepest issues we had and was successful in a bipartisan way…

Larry Walsh (Democratic Illinois State Senator):  The legislation that he carried, he believed in. He was not carrying it for a group. He was not carrying for a lobbyist.

Kirk Dillard: Republicans legislators respected Senator Obama. His negotiation skills and an ability to understand both sides would serve the country very well.

Posted by Mike on June 25, 2007 | Permalink

Obama Iowa TV Ads "Carry" and "Choice"

Obama Iowa TV Ads

Carry

The ad titled "Carry" chronicles Senator Obama’s eight years in the Illinois State Senate and his success in working with Democrats and Republicans to achieve goals that they only talk about in Washington, DC. In Illinois, Senator Obama built bipartisan coalitions to pass sweeping ethics reform, extend health care to 150,000 people and offer tax relief to low-income workers.

For years, they’ve been talking about these issues in Washington, but Senator Obama was a leader in reaching across party lines to make progress on these priorities in Illinois. Bringing people together across partisan lines stands in contrast to the current way of doing things in Washington, DC, and it’s exactly the kind of leadership Americans are searching for.

Choices
The ad titled “Choices,” highlights Senator Obama’s years in Chicago. He first came to Chicago as a community organizer to work with a group of churches in a community that felt abandoned and powerless as local steel mills closed. During his time as a community organizer, Barack persuaded local residents that they could effect real change and they did – block by block.

After graduating from Harvard, he passed up big money offers to return to Chicago and run a voter registration drive – once again devoting himself to the local community and to making people’s lives better.

Posted by Mike on June 25, 2007 | Permalink

Obama Campaign Launches Text Messaging Initiative

Obama Campaign Launches Comprehensive Text Messaging Initiative to Expand Grassroots Network and Organize Supporters Supporters Can Text “Go” to OBAMA (62262) to Sign Up for Text Messaging 

Chicago, IL-The Obama campaign announced the launch of a new text messaging service today that will be used as a key tool to organize for events, build on the grassroots volunteer network and add to the growing base of support for Barack Obama’s campaign to change this country. 

“This campaign is about the people across the country who are taking organizing into their own hands and text messaging is a key tool that will help us reach out to people who rely on their mobile phone service for information,”  said Joe Rospars, new media director for the Obama campaign.  “This is a service we hope to use to continue to communicate with our growing base of supporters who are excited about playing an active role in our efforts to change this country.” 

How will Obama Text Messaging Program Work? 

With millions of Americans relying on cell phones, this new service will enable the campaign to not only communicate news about events and campaign developments, but it will also allow users to request information from the campaign.  The campaign will use text to inform supporters about important public appearance and ask for opinions and advice. 

How can Obama supporters join? 

Anyone who texts “GO” to OBAMA (62262)  will receive a free bumper sticker between now and June 30th.  There is a low threshold to join and the Obama campaign will not charge anyone for text messaging. Participants will just pay their standard text messaging rates to their own providers. Information about the program will also be available at www.barackobama.com/mobile. 

What are some of the interesting tools the campaign is providing to users? 

The campaign will utilize creative free ringtones and wallpapers to highlight Barack Obama’s positions and key statements on the war in Iraq, healthcare, up to date speeches and developments on the campaign trail. 

Supporters who produced the first ringtones include musicians from different genres including hip hop, rock and techno.

Posted by Mike on June 19, 2007 | Permalink

Barack Obama Minnesota Kickoff

Barack Obama will be at International Market Square in Minneapolis for a Minnesota Kick-Off on Friday, June 29, 2007.

Posted by Mike on June 08, 2007 | Permalink

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